Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve
Confirmed COVID-19 cases have now passed 10 million: what will they be next week, globally and in your country?
Jun 30, 2020
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Confirmed COVID-19 cases have now passed 10 million: what will they be next week, globally and in your country?
Jun 30, 2020
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Global data networks that connect people through their devices have made it possible to create accurate short-term forecasts of new COVID-19 cases, using a method pioneered by two researchers at Sandia National Laboratories.
Jun 30, 2020
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According to a widely cited forecasting study, relaxed social distancing rules will lead to a two-fold increase in deaths from COVID-19. Predicting how much the mortality will increase, however, is fraught with huge uncertainties, ...
Jun 2, 2020
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It's fair to say the world has never been more aware of the importance of mathematical and statistical modelling as it is today.
May 18, 2020
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The Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence team at the University of Massachusetts Amherst is developing a COVID-19 forecast hub by unifying multiple models in an effort to produce a more accurate picture of the potential ...
Apr 18, 2020
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Are influenza outbreaks and weather patterns connected? Researchers have long known that flu season occurs in the colder months, and that infection rates drop dramatically as the weather warms. But why? And could weather ...
Feb 19, 2020
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An international team has been improving dengue infection outbreak predictions, highlighting the challenges researchers face when attempting to build successful forecasting models.
Nov 11, 2019
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What with Facetime, Skype, Whatsapp and Snapchat, for many people, face-to-face conversation is used less and less often.
Mar 29, 2019
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An annual influenza season forecasting challenge issued by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control provides unique insight into epidemic forecasting, according to a study published in the journal Scientific Reports.
Mar 11, 2019
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Whooping cough in Texas. Measles in New York. Ebola in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Feb 28, 2019
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