Scientists develope optimal flu vaccine priorities, question federal guidelines

(PhysOrg.com) -- Optimal control of the spread of the seasonal flu and H1N1 is achieved by prioritizing vaccinations for schoolchildren and for adults aged 30 to 39 in the United States. Those are the findings of a new study by Clemson University and Yale University School of Medicine mathematicians.

With the seasonal flu season approaching and uncertainty over whether swine flu will become more severe, new research published by Yale School of Public Health has found that more people are likely to avoid illness if vaccines are given out first to those most likely to transmit viruses, rather than to those at highest risk for complications. This research differs from current vaccination recommendations of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP).

The Yale study appears in the August 20 issue of the journal Science online at the website,. It will be published in the print journal Science at a later date.

The ACIP currently recommends that groups at high risk for complications of swine flu (novel influenza A or H1N1) be given priority for vaccination. The CDC recommends the same for seasonal flu vaccination. High-risk groups include children younger than 5 years old, adults 65 years of age and older, pregnant women, and those suffering from pulmonary, cardiovascular and other disorders.

But the study by Alison P. Galvani, Ph.D., an associate professor in the division of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases at Yale, suggests that vaccines targeted at groups more likely to transmit flu viruses, rather than those at highest risk of complications, would result in fewer infections and improved survival rates.

Galvani used mathematical models to measure outcomes based on deaths, years of life lost and economic costs. Strikingly, these models found that schoolchildren and their parents, generally in their 30s, are the best groups to vaccinate when even a modest amount of an effective vaccine is available, because schoolchildren are most responsible for transmission and their parents serve as bridges to the rest of the population. By targeting these two age groups, the study found, the remainder of the population is better protected.

"Our results illustrate the importance of considering transmission when allocating vaccines" said Galvani. The paper was co-authored by Jan Medlock of Clemson University.

The CDC expanded its seasonal recommendations in 2008 to include children up to 18 years old. Still, Galvani's study determined that previous, and new, guidelines for both swine and seasonal flu performed substantially worse than the optimal strategies that she and her group identified.

For example, using the ACIP's new vaccination policies for the swine flu, the study determined that ACIP recommendations would result in 1.3 million infections, 2,600 deaths, and $2.8 billion in economic impact. In contrast, Galvani's model resulted in 113,000 infections, 242 deaths, and $1.6 billion in cost.

Galvani said reducing CDC prioritization of children under age 5 and the elderly could significantly improve the CDC's recommendations.

"The optimal allocation of vaccines is paramount to minimizing mortality and morbidity in the population, particularly when there is a supply shortage," she said.

More information: http://www.sciencemag.org/sciencexpress

Source: Yale University (news : web)

Citation: Scientists develope optimal flu vaccine priorities, question federal guidelines (2009, August 20) retrieved 18 October 2019 from https://medicalxpress.com/news/2009-08-scientists-optimal-flu-vaccine-priorities.html
This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.
 shares

Feedback to editors

User comments

Aug 21, 2009
There is not one shred of evidence that inoculations (vaccines) prevent or protect against any disease. Contrarily, there is a mountain of evidence proving that vaccines are harmful, toxic and ruin human physiologies and brains.

Aug 21, 2009
I completely agree albert! Why take the risk of posioning yourself when all the vaccines are proven to do is lessen the severity of sysmtons and shorten your illness period by a day? If anything you will suffer more from the un-tested unpredictable side effects which will be haunting the population in years to come. Don't people learn from the last vaccines in the 60s where millions of people were harmed from the vaccine?

KBK
Aug 21, 2009
Add to all of this that the given companies involved here..are HEAVILY crosslinked and invested in the 'official' organization, the WHO (world Health Organization)..meaning the heads of the pharmaceutical companies are also swapping spit and jobs with the WHO organization..you've got a recipe for a pile of pure bullshit and lies for personal financial gain, nevermind the ramifications of when a company 'accidentally' (impossible!!! flat out impossible it HAD to be purposeful!) sends live H5N1 virus to Czechoslovakia.

Then you look at exactly what and who is involved in the WHO, what people and groups are connected to it...and then you see that it is Power involved with a mass de-population scheme.

Remember, the WHO is kinda like the 'Federal Reserve', which is an illegal private enterprise bank, owned privately by a group of bankers, and issue currency as debt to the US government (each dollar issued comes with a debt, ie, 1%), so the US government can NEVER get out of debt to 13 private banks--as long as the Federal reserve exists. Which, as I said, is illegal.

The WHO is of the same nature, it is power and control scheme erected by private interests that have nothing to do with keeping people alive.

KBK
Aug 21, 2009
Research 'Jim Humble', and 'MMS' for an alternative to ANY vaccine that kills viruses in the body in hours, with no side effects..at 5 cents a cure. Bloodly hell--you can bet your bottom dollar (heh) that those folks (WHO, Baxter , and other pharmaceutical companies, etc)want that sort of cheap and easy self-determination to go away.

KBK
Aug 21, 2009
I just noted that it is Yale University--which is same shithole that SKULL AND BONES comes out of--- the secret fraternity that Bush I and Bush II both belonged to, same as John Kerry.

Prescott Bush -also a skull and bones member- their predecessor, was going to be prosecuted for treason, except the banks protected him. You see, he ran a outfit called the 'Union banking corporation' during world war II, it was put together by the US banks who control the Federal Reserve - in order to finance the Nazis.

Strange that that a traitor who was financing the Nazi's to kill Americans and everyone else--strange that two of his sons would become two of the presidents that rolled back more civil liberties and brought in Fascism on an unprecedented level. Strange, no?

Not really- if you actually go looking for these things-you will find them. Your willing ignorance is what protects them and allows them to sneak attack and slowly bring these things into existence.

And the virus going around seems to severely attack ONLY the very healthy..NOT the young or the old..which makes the recommendation of who should be taking the vaccines ever weirder..until you connect the dots.

Genetically damage (permanently) the young so they will be slothful, stupid, and short lived with many complications..all due to that deadly vaccine..and then use it to kill off the old who are not the prime target of the virus.

As well, the virus apparently shows all the genetic markings of coming straight out of a defense laboratory.

Defense laboratories? Well, Skull and bones members created the CIA, and Bush senior ran that.... and..to add... when the CIA was created, the predecessor, the OSA was run by skull and bones members..(Dulles) and they brought back about 5000 Nazi scientists into US military black ops programs after and during the end of WWII. (it was called 'project paperclip')

Nazi eugenicists, brought back to the US into corporate financed black ops programs, all originally created by Private Banks and their same supporters. How could a Private Bank be involved an and support Fascism? Well, look up the origin of the word fascism--it means : 'when corporations and governments collude against the will of the people'.

Is it getting a bit more clear yet? If this seems like insane ranting-then do the research. Look into it.

You will not like what you find.

Aug 22, 2009
Where do you guys get your unscientific dribble? Vaccination programs have been heavily studied and have been shown to be effective and safe. All you are doing by passing on lies is to make the people of the world less safe. Go look up the studies that have been done. Naturally, nothing is perfectly safe. There have been deaths directly related vaccines. However, without vaccines there would have been many more.

Aug 22, 2009
On a hunch I clicked on this link to see what the responses would be. Not surprisingly, PhysOrg seems to have been overrun by conspiracy theorists, pseudoscientists, and general dumbassery. What planet are you people living on? Seriously the crap your spouting would look ridiculous even in the 19th century.

Aug 24, 2009
Where do you guys get your unscientific dribble? Vaccination programs have been heavily studied and have been shown to be effective and safe. All you are doing by passing on lies is to make the people of the world less safe. Go look up the studies that have been done. Naturally, nothing is perfectly safe. There have been deaths directly related vaccines. However, without vaccines there would have been many more.


And your unscientific dribble is so much better? Where have these vaccination programs been heavily studied? In the UK we have only recently started to study it and to say that a "fast-tracked" vaccine has been heavily studied sounds very optimistic and naive.

http://www.redorb...dex.html

I'll believe you when results of this study next month confirms so.

Aug 24, 2009
On a hunch I clicked on this link to see what the responses would be. Not surprisingly, PhysOrg seems to have been overrun by conspiracy theorists, pseudoscientists, and general dumbassery. What planet are you people living on? Seriously the crap your spouting would look ridiculous even in the 19th century.


What a clever argument Brain! Generally blogs are here for adults to debate subjects but it seems you cannot even contribute by offering a different opinion, let alone backin it with evidence. May I suggest joining some tabloids forum where your childish posts to offend people will be welcome :-P

I recently lost all faith in the UN and WHO after reading up about Codex Alimentarius. If anyone could explain why banning health products that are used to prevent and cure health problems could benefit us I would like to hear thier reasoning. Tbh the only people I see it helping is pharma companies who will profit from both the increased products range (herbs/etc) plus the increase of customers (people who can no longer prevent illness).

http://www.natura...ius.html

Any UK readers who also appreciate cooking with garlic/herbs or use any natural rememdies, please sign the official Number 10 Downing Street petition...

http://petitions....itamins/

Please sign in to add a comment. Registration is free, and takes less than a minute. Read more