Countries facing rapid shift in noncommunicable disease burden are least prepared

November 6, 2017, Health Affairs
Projected change from 2015 to 2040 in percentage of disease burden due to noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) by score on the health system capacity index. Credit: Health Affairs

Within a generation, the share of disease burden attributed to noncommunicable diseases such as cancer, cardiovascular disease and diabetes in some low-income countries will exceed 80 percent, rivaling that of richer countries.

In a new study appearing in the November issue of Health Affairs, Thomas Bollyky of the Council on Foreign Relations and coauthors examined the shift from communicable to and estimated preparedness for it by ranking 172 nations.

The analysis showed that the burden of premature noncommunicable diseases is growing quickly in lower-income countries due more to demographic factors than to modifiable behavioral risks such as unhealthy diets and .

The shift to noncommunicable diseases will be fastest in the countries with the health systems that are the least prepared to manage and treat these diseases (see the exhibit below).

The study authors conclude that more investment is needed from national governments and donors to 1) reduce key modifiable risk factors such as tobacco use; 2) increase lower-cost access to primary and preventive care; and 3) prepare the of lower-income countries for the faster than expected rise of noncommunicable diseases.

Explore further: Low-and middle-income countries need to prioritize noncommunicable disease prevention

Related Stories

Low-and middle-income countries need to prioritize noncommunicable disease prevention

June 11, 2013
Nine years after the World Health Organization adopted a global strategy on diet, physical activity, and health to address risk factors for chronic diseases such as heart disease and diabetes (referred to internationally ...

Tobacco use costs world 6 million lives, $1 trillion annually: report

January 10, 2017
(HealthDay)—Smoking kills about 6 million people a year, and costs the world more than $1 trillion a year in health care expenses and lost productivity, a new report says.

Diabetes as a major global health challenge

July 8, 2016
A researcher from UPM is involved in a study that estimates the global prevalence of diabetes and anticipates future trends.

More research into chronic diseases urgently needed in all countries

January 29, 2013
When considering chronic (non-communicable) diseases, such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes, in low-and-middle countries, a major shift in approach from declaring what needs to be done to using research to prioritise, ...

Recommended for you

Get a grip: What your hand strength says about your marriage prospects and mortality

April 26, 2018
Researchers at Columbia University's Mailman School of Public Health and the Columbia Aging Center found men with a stronger grip were more likely to be married than men with weaker grips. Grip strength was not a factor in ...

Community efforts to prevent teen problems have lasting benefits

April 26, 2018
Want to prevent kids from using drugs and make it stick into young adulthood? Get the community involved and intervene before they're teens, say researchers from the University of Washington.

Taxing sweet snacks may bring greater health benefits than taxing sugar-sweetened drinks

April 26, 2018
Taxing sweet snacks could lead to broader reductions in the amount of sugar purchased than similar increases in the price of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs), according to new research published in BMJ Open.

Hearing aids linked to fewer hospital and ER visits by older adults

April 26, 2018
They cost thousands of dollars, and insurance almost never covers them. But hearing aids may hold the potential to cut older adults' visits to the hospital or emergency room, according to a new study.

Consuming protein supplements with meals may work better for weight control

April 25, 2018
A new systematic review of available evidence appearing in Nutrition Reviews indicates that consuming protein supplements with meals may be more effective at promoting weight control than consuming supplements between meals ...

Hair products for Black women contain mix of hazardous ingredients

April 25, 2018
A new report published today in the journal Environmental Research shows that Black women are potentially exposed to dozens of hazardous chemicals through the hair products they use.

0 comments

Please sign in to add a comment. Registration is free, and takes less than a minute. Read more

Click here to reset your password.
Sign in to get notified via email when new comments are made.