What the electric meter tells us about the birth rate

July 4, 2012
Fig. 1a: The size of mammals (blue dots) is shown in relationship to their metabolic rate. For humans, the metabolic rate varies considerably (red dots), but is on average (star) much higher than expected. Human weight is set here at 50 kilograms. 1b: While life expectancy among humans rises along with energy consumption, the increase is less than would be expected for a mammal with the same metabolic rate (compare dashed line). 1c: Birth rates decline with rising energy use roughly equally among humans and other mammals. 1d: With rising per capita energy consumption of a country, the gap between the birth of the first child and the onset of menopause is decreasing. © MPI for Demographic Research

(Medical Xpress) -- If a woman were to consume in the form of food the amount of energy she uses, and were to follow the fertility patterns seen in other species, she would weigh as much as two elephants, and would continue to bear children up to the age of 70. This is because, generally, the more energy an organism uses, the bigger it is, the longer it lives, and the later it reproduces. But is this true of humans? After all, humans satisfy their appetite for energy through electrical outlets and other industrial sources.

Humans need to eat around 2,000 , but the in industrial nations burns more than 32,000 calories a day. In wealthy industrial nations like , the average energy consumption of an individual is 110,000 calories, which is still only half of the U.S. value. Because he only eats a small portion of the energy he uses, this level of energy consumption has little effect on the individual’s weight. It does, however, influence his demographic traits, such as lifespan and birth rate, Oskar Burger of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research has found in a new study. And this enormous energy usage could even explain the low birth rates seen in highly developed countries, according to the author and his collaborators. 

For almost all animals, body size determines energy use because it determines their metabolic rates, and both body size and energy use are highly correlated with most demographic traits: for example, a giraffe that weighs about 13 times as much as a human burns over 24,000 calories a day, has around 0.6 calves a year, and has a maximum life expectancy of 36 years. A tiny spine mouse, by contrast, needs to consume only around 19 calories a day to maintain its body weight of 45 grams. The mouse has a maximum lifespan of only five years, but gives birth to more than eight offspring a year in that time. These values for the giraffe and the mouse obey so-called “allometric” relationships. The giraffe is 18,000 times heavier than the mouse; the life expectancies and birth rates of these animals change predictably as a function of this change in mass, but they change in smaller steps. The same basic relationship holds across all mammal species, from the smallest to the largest (see Fig. 1b and 1c).

Humans are the exception that proves this rule. If a man were to actually consume all of the energy he uses in the form of food, he would weigh 6,435 kilograms (see Fig. 1a). But the ability of humans to use non-food energy sources has altered this biologically fundamental relationship between body weight and energy use. There is, however, a precise correlation between other demographic traits and energy consumption: a hypothetical female primate that ate 110,000 calories a day would not only weigh as much as two ; she would also have a maximal life expectancy of 112 years, and would bear her first child at the age of 27.

These values fit surprisingly well with the data for average Germans. A comparison between countries with different energy levels also shows that the more watts a country uses, the higher the is (see Fig. 1b), the later children are born, and the lower the birth rates (see Fig. 1c) and the mortality rates of children under age five are.

To prevent a population from shrinking as a result of declining birth rates, the reproductive period should grow in line with energy consumption. But whereas the elephantine creature with the of a mean German woman could still have children at the age of 70, German women typically stop having babies by the age of 42. Oskar Burger sees a possible explanation for the low in many industrial nations in this curtailment of the reproductive lifespan (see Fig. 1d), as almost all the populations of countries that use a lot of tend to have below-replacement fertility.

Explore further: Low fertility in Europe -- is there still reason to worry?

More information: Burger, O. J. DeLong, M. Hamilton, Industrial energy use and the human life history, Scientific Reports 1 (2011) 56

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NotParker
not rated yet Jul 04, 2012
"If a woman were to consume in the form of food the amount of energy she uses"

If I watch a TV show or read a book on a kindle or read information on the Internet I am acquiring knowledge which is not equal to food.

What tortured logic!

Pathetic attempt to get into AR5.
Lurker2358
not rated yet Jul 04, 2012
On some level, consumption of energy is proportional to intelligence, as for a very intelligent being in the universe under the laws of physics, there will be at a bare minimum a certain amount of energy per calculation or sensory action of any form which is consumed, wither it's an artificial life form or intelligence such as a robot, computer, or nano-machine collective, or whether it's an animal, a human, or an alien.

Some things we do out of oversight or whatever, which are not very intelligent, such as leaving the television on whilst out of the room and not paying attention to it anyway.

Nevertheless, if we were 10 times more intelligent, but our brains being the same efficiency, the brain would consume 10 times more energy. You might expect us to consume quite a bit more energy as the brain and heart are the two most energy consuming organs in our body, and much of what the heart does is to feed itself and the brain.
Gigel
not rated yet Jul 05, 2012
The food energy that plants and animals burn is only a small fraction compared to the energy they get from the sun in 1 day. They clearly don't eat that energy, not even plants (photosynthesis is highly inefficient). Energy simply does not mean food.

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